What is due, and how the last one went
Every figure here is published by a statistical office on its own schedule. Before one arrives this page says what our forecast expects and how wide that expectation is. After it arrives it says what actually came in, beside what we had said. The second half is the one that costs something, and it is why the first half is worth reading.
Since this page started watching, 90 figures have arrived that we had forecast. We were out by 0.22 on average, and 50 of them landed inside the range we had stated.
A different number from the scorecard on each indicator page, and a harder one. That one replays history from past starting points, which is the only way to get enough cases to say something statistical — but it scores against today's revised figures, and every method looks slightly better for it. These were scored live, against a prediction written before the figure existed.
Due next
| Country | Figure | Period | We expect | Due |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| India | Central bank policy rate | July 2026 | 5.3%5.2–5.3% | timing not learned yet |
| Switzerland | Unemployment rate | July 2026 | 5.1%5.0–5.2% | timing not learned yet |
| South Korea | Central bank policy rate | August 2026 | 2.8%2.8–2.8% | timing not learned yet |
| Australia | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | 2.3%2.0–2.5% | timing not learned yet |
| Australia | Central bank policy rate | September 2026 | 4.3%4.3–4.4% | timing not learned yet |
| Austria | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | 0.9%0.7–1.2% | timing not learned yet |
| Austria | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 3.1%2.8–3.5% | timing not learned yet |
| Austria | Unemployment rate | September 2026 | 6.6%6.4–6.8% | timing not learned yet |
| Belgium | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | 0.9%0.3–1.4% | timing not learned yet |
| Belgium | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 4.4%3.7–5.1% | timing not learned yet |
| Belgium | Unemployment rate | September 2026 | 5.9%5.9–5.9% | timing not learned yet |
| Canada | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | 1.2%0.9–1.5% | timing not learned yet |
| Canada | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 3.0%2.7–3.2% | timing not learned yet |
| Canada | Unemployment rate | September 2026 | 6.4%6.3–6.5% | timing not learned yet |
| China | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 0.8%0.7–0.9% | timing not learned yet |
| Czechia | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | 1.7%1.5–1.8% | timing not learned yet |
| Czechia | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 2.0%1.6–2.4% | timing not learned yet |
| Czechia | Unemployment rate | September 2026 | 3.2%3.1–3.4% | timing not learned yet |
| Denmark | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | 3.5%2.5–4.5% | timing not learned yet |
| Denmark | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 2.0%1.8–2.3% | timing not learned yet |
| Denmark | Unemployment rate | September 2026 | 6.3%6.0–6.6% | timing not learned yet |
| Euro area | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | 1.2%0.9–1.5% | timing not learned yet |
| Euro area | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 3.3%3.0–3.6% | timing not learned yet |
| Finland | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | 1.7%1.5–2.0% | timing not learned yet |
| Finland | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 2.4%2.0–2.7% | timing not learned yet |
| Finland | Unemployment rate | September 2026 | 10.1%9.8–10.4% | timing not learned yet |
| France | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | 0.8%0.5–1.0% | timing not learned yet |
| France | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 2.9%2.5–3.3% | timing not learned yet |
| Germany | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | 1.3%1.2–1.5% | timing not learned yet |
| Germany | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 2.9%2.6–3.2% | timing not learned yet |
| Greece | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | 1.6%1.4–1.7% | timing not learned yet |
| Greece | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 4.5%3.6–5.5% | timing not learned yet |
| Greece | Unemployment rate | September 2026 | 7.4%6.9–7.9% | timing not learned yet |
| Hungary | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | 2.0%1.6–2.4% | timing not learned yet |
| Hungary | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 2.1%1.9–2.2% | timing not learned yet |
| Hungary | Unemployment rate | September 2026 | 4.7%4.6–4.8% | timing not learned yet |
| India | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | 7.3%6.8–7.8% | timing not learned yet |
| Ireland | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | -3.1%-9.1–3.3% | timing not learned yet |
| Ireland | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 3.5%3.3–3.7% | timing not learned yet |
| Italy | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | 0.8%0.5–1.1% | timing not learned yet |
| Italy | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 3.3%3.1–3.5% | timing not learned yet |
| Japan | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | 1.1%0.7–1.5% | timing not learned yet |
| Japan | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 2.1%1.9–2.3% | timing not learned yet |
| Netherlands | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | 1.4%1.2–1.7% | timing not learned yet |
| Netherlands | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 3.0%2.6–3.3% | timing not learned yet |
| Netherlands | Unemployment rate | September 2026 | 4.0%3.9–4.1% | timing not learned yet |
| Norway | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | 0.4%-0.1–0.9% | timing not learned yet |
| Norway | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 3.3%3.0–3.5% | timing not learned yet |
| Norway | Unemployment rate | September 2026 | 4.4%4.3–4.6% | timing not learned yet |
| Poland | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | 3.6%3.4–3.8% | timing not learned yet |
| Poland | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 3.5%3.2–3.9% | timing not learned yet |
| Portugal | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | 2.4%2.1–2.7% | timing not learned yet |
| Portugal | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 3.3%3.1–3.6% | timing not learned yet |
| Portugal | Unemployment rate | September 2026 | 5.7%5.6–5.8% | timing not learned yet |
| Romania | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | -1.2%-2.0–-0.3% | timing not learned yet |
| Romania | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 6.1%5.9–6.4% | timing not learned yet |
| Romania | Unemployment rate | September 2026 | 6.4%6.3–6.6% | timing not learned yet |
| South Korea | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | 3.2%2.5–3.8% | timing not learned yet |
| South Korea | Unemployment rate | September 2026 | 2.7%2.6–2.8% | timing not learned yet |
| Spain | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | 2.5%2.4–2.7% | timing not learned yet |
| Spain | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 4.2%3.9–4.4% | timing not learned yet |
| Spain | Unemployment rate | September 2026 | 10.0%9.9–10.0% | timing not learned yet |
| Sweden | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | 3.0%2.4–3.5% | timing not learned yet |
| Sweden | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 0.7%0.5–0.9% | timing not learned yet |
| Sweden | Unemployment rate | September 2026 | 8.8%8.6–9.0% | timing not learned yet |
| Switzerland | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | 3.5%3.2–3.7% | timing not learned yet |
| Switzerland | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 1.0%0.8–1.2% | timing not learned yet |
| United Kingdom | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | 1.7%1.5–1.9% | timing not learned yet |
| United Kingdom | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 3.3%3.1–3.5% | timing not learned yet |
| United States | Real GDP | Q3 2026 | 1.7%1.5–1.9% | timing not learned yet |
| United States | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 3.4%3.1–3.6% | timing not learned yet |
| Japan | Unemployment rate | August 2026 | 2.4%2.3–2.5% | 2026-10-13usually 43 days after the period ends, from 2 sightings |
| Canada | Central bank policy rate | October 2026 | 2.3%2.3–2.3% | period still open, closes 2026-10-31 |
| Czechia | Central bank policy rate | October 2026 | 3.8%3.8–3.8% | period still open, closes 2026-10-31 |
| Denmark | Central bank policy rate | October 2026 | 2.1%2.1–2.1% | period still open, closes 2026-10-31 |
| Ireland | Unemployment rate | October 2026 | 5.0%5.0–5.0% | period still open, closes 2026-10-31 |
| Norway | Central bank policy rate | October 2026 | 4.5%4.5–4.5% | period still open, closes 2026-10-31 |
| Romania | Central bank policy rate | October 2026 | 6.5%6.5–6.5% | period still open, closes 2026-10-31 |
| Sweden | Central bank policy rate | October 2026 | 1.8%1.7–1.8% | period still open, closes 2026-10-31 |
| Switzerland | Central bank policy rate | October 2026 | -0.0%-0.0–0.0% | period still open, closes 2026-10-31 |
| Euro area | Unemployment rate | September 2026 | 6.4%6.4–6.4% | 2026-11-01usually 32 days after the period ends, from 2 sightings |
| France | Unemployment rate | September 2026 | 8.2%8.1–8.3% | 2026-11-01usually 32 days after the period ends, from 2 sightings |
| Germany | Unemployment rate | September 2026 | 4.0%4.0–4.0% | 2026-11-01usually 32 days after the period ends, from 2 sightings |
| Italy | Unemployment rate | September 2026 | 6.2%6.1–6.2% | 2026-11-01usually 32 days after the period ends, from 2 sightings |
| Poland | Unemployment rate | September 2026 | 3.4%3.4–3.5% | 2026-11-01usually 32 days after the period ends, from 2 sightings |
| China | Central bank policy rate | October 2026 | 3.0%3.0–3.0% | 2026-11-06usually 6 days after the period ends, from 2 sightings |
| Euro area | Central bank policy rate | October 2026 | 2.5%2.4–2.6% | 2026-11-06usually 6 days after the period ends, from 2 sightings |
| Japan | Central bank policy rate | October 2026 | 1.3%1.2–1.3% | 2026-11-06usually 6 days after the period ends, from 2 sightings |
| Poland | Central bank policy rate | October 2026 | 3.7%3.7–3.8% | 2026-11-06usually 6 days after the period ends, from 2 sightings |
| United States | Central bank policy rate | October 2026 | 3.9%3.9–3.9% | 2026-11-06usually 6 days after the period ends, from 2 sightings |
| Australia | Unemployment rate | September 2026 | 4.6%4.6–4.7% | 2026-11-07usually 38 days after the period ends, from 2 sightings |
| United Kingdom | Unemployment rate | July 2026 | 4.9%4.9–4.9% | 2026-11-08usually 100 days after the period ends, from 2 sightings |
| Australia | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | — | 2026-11-09usually 40 days after the period ends, from 2 sightings |
| Hungary | Central bank policy rate | October 2026 | 5.4%5.3–5.5% | 2026-11-09usually 9 days after the period ends, from 2 sightings |
| India | Consumer price inflation | September 2026 | 5.4%5.3–5.5% | 2026-11-09usually 40 days after the period ends, from 2 sightings |
| United Kingdom | Central bank policy rate | October 2026 | 3.7%3.7–3.8% | 2026-11-09usually 9 days after the period ends, from 2 sightings |
| South Korea | Consumer price inflation | October 2026 | 2.8%2.6–2.9% | 2026-11-12usually 12 days after the period ends, from 2 sightings |
| United States | Unemployment rate | October 2026 | 4.2%4.1–4.3% | 2026-11-12usually 12 days after the period ends, from 2 sightings |
| Australia | Government debt | 2026 | 77.6%74.2–81.0% | period still open, closes 2026-12-31 |
| Austria | Government debt | 2026 | 81.5%79.3–83.7% | period still open, closes 2026-12-31 |
| Belgium | Government debt | 2026 | 107.9%103.9–111.9% | period still open, closes 2026-12-31 |
| Canada | Government debt | 2026 | 122.9%120.1–125.7% | period still open, closes 2026-12-31 |
| Czechia | Government debt | 2026 | 44.8%44.0–45.7% | period still open, closes 2026-12-31 |
| Denmark | Government debt | 2026 | 27.9%25.4–30.4% | period still open, closes 2026-12-31 |
| Euro area | Government debt | 2026 | 87.8%85.8–89.8% | period still open, closes 2026-12-31 |
| Finland | Government debt | 2026 | 88.5%84.5–92.5% | period still open, closes 2026-12-31 |
| France | Government debt | 2026 | 117.5%115.5–119.6% | period still open, closes 2026-12-31 |
| Germany | Government debt | 2026 | 63.5%61.4–65.6% | period still open, closes 2026-12-31 |
| Greece | Government debt | 2026 | 146.1%136.4–155.8% | period still open, closes 2026-12-31 |
| Hungary | Government debt | 2026 | 74.6%73.4–75.8% | period still open, closes 2026-12-31 |
| Ireland | Government debt | 2026 | 32.3%26.8–37.7% | period still open, closes 2026-12-31 |
| Italy | Government debt | 2026 | 137.1%134.4–139.7% | period still open, closes 2026-12-31 |
| Netherlands | Government debt | 2026 | 44.4%42.4–46.4% | period still open, closes 2026-12-31 |
| Norway | Government debt | 2026 | 62.7%57.5–67.8% | period still open, closes 2026-12-31 |
| Poland | Government debt | 2026 | 59.3%54.8–63.7% | period still open, closes 2026-12-31 |
| Portugal | Government debt | 2026 | 89.7%78.5–100.9% | period still open, closes 2026-12-31 |
| Romania | Government debt | 2026 | 61.1%58.5–63.6% | period still open, closes 2026-12-31 |
| Spain | Government debt | 2026 | 100.7%98.6–102.8% | period still open, closes 2026-12-31 |
| Sweden | Government debt | 2026 | 34.6%32.9–36.3% | period still open, closes 2026-12-31 |
| Switzerland | Government debt | 2026 | 39.7%39.0–40.4% | period still open, closes 2026-12-31 |
| United States | Government debt | 2026 | 136.8%135.5–138.1% | period still open, closes 2026-12-31 |
No statistical office hands this site a schedule, and a hand-typed table of publication lags would go quietly wrong the moment one of them moved its timetable. So the dates are measured: a series says when it is due once this page has watched it arrive twice, and says it does not know before that. It fills itself in.
Recently arrived
Ireland unemployment rate for September 2026 came in at 5.0.
we said 5.0 — on the nose
Seen , 8 days after the period ended · Eurostat
United States central bank policy rate for September 2026 came in at 3.9.
we said 3.6 — out by 0.3, higher than expected, outside our stated range
Seen , 8 days after the period ended · Bank for International Settlements
United Kingdom central bank policy rate for September 2026 came in at 3.8.
we said 3.7 — out by 0.1, higher than expected, outside our stated range
Seen , 8 days after the period ended · Bank for International Settlements
Sweden central bank policy rate for September 2026 came in at 1.8.
we said 1.8 — on the nose
Seen , 8 days after the period ended · Bank for International Settlements
Romania central bank policy rate for September 2026 came in at 6.5.
we said 6.5 — on the nose
Seen , 8 days after the period ended · Bank for International Settlements
Poland central bank policy rate for September 2026 came in at 3.8.
we said 3.7 — out by 0.1, higher than expected
Seen , 8 days after the period ended · Bank for International Settlements
Norway central bank policy rate for September 2026 came in at 4.5.
we said 4.2 — out by 0.3, higher than expected, outside our stated range
Seen , 8 days after the period ended · Bank for International Settlements
Japan central bank policy rate for September 2026 came in at 1.3.
we said 1.0 — out by 0.3, higher than expected, outside our stated range
Seen , 8 days after the period ended · Bank for International Settlements
Hungary central bank policy rate for September 2026 came in at 5.5.
we said 5.4 — out by 0.1, higher than expected, outside our stated range
Seen , 8 days after the period ended · Bank for International Settlements
Euro area central bank policy rate for September 2026 came in at 2.5.
we said 2.3 — out by 0.2, higher than expected, outside our stated range
Seen , 8 days after the period ended · Bank for International Settlements
Denmark central bank policy rate for September 2026 came in at 2.1.
we said 1.9 — out by 0.2, higher than expected, outside our stated range
Seen , 8 days after the period ended · Bank for International Settlements
Czechia central bank policy rate for September 2026 came in at 3.8.
we said 3.8 — on the nose
Seen , 8 days after the period ended · Bank for International Settlements
China central bank policy rate for September 2026 came in at 3.0.
we said 3.0 — on the nose
Seen , 8 days after the period ended · Bank for International Settlements
Switzerland central bank policy rate for September 2026 came in at 0.0.
we said 0.0 — on the nose
Seen , 8 days after the period ended · Bank for International Settlements
Canada central bank policy rate for September 2026 came in at 2.3.
we said 2.3 — on the nose
Seen , 8 days after the period ended · Bank for International Settlements
Japan unemployment rate for August 2026 came in at 2.5.
we said 2.4 — out by 0.1, higher than expected, outside our stated range
Seen , 37 days after the period ended · OECD
South Korea consumer price inflation for September 2026 came in at 2.9.
we said 2.8 — out by 0.1, higher than expected
Seen , 7 days after the period ended · OECD
United States unemployment rate for September 2026 came in at 4.2.
we said 4.1 — out by 0.1, higher than expected
Seen , 6 days after the period ended · OECD
Romania unemployment rate for August 2026 came in at 6.4.
we said 6.5 — out by 0.1, lower than expected
Seen , 31 days after the period ended · Eurostat
Portugal unemployment rate for August 2026 came in at 5.7.
we said 5.7 — on the nose
Seen , 31 days after the period ended · Eurostat
Poland unemployment rate for August 2026 came in at 3.4.
we said 3.4 — on the nose
Seen , 31 days after the period ended · Eurostat
Norway unemployment rate for August 2026 came in at 4.5.
we said 4.4 — out by 0.1, higher than expected
Seen , 31 days after the period ended · Eurostat
Italy unemployment rate for August 2026 came in at 6.2.
we said 5.8 — out by 0.4, higher than expected, outside our stated range
Seen , 31 days after the period ended · Eurostat
Hungary unemployment rate for August 2026 came in at 4.7.
we said 4.5 — out by 0.2, higher than expected, outside our stated range
Seen , 31 days after the period ended · Eurostat
Greece unemployment rate for August 2026 came in at 7.4.
we said 7.9 — out by 0.5, lower than expected
Seen , 31 days after the period ended · Eurostat
France unemployment rate for August 2026 came in at 8.2.
we said 8.3 — out by 0.1, lower than expected, outside our stated range
Seen , 31 days after the period ended · Eurostat
Spain unemployment rate for August 2026 came in at 10.0.
we said 10.0 — on the nose
Seen , 31 days after the period ended · Eurostat
Euro area unemployment rate for August 2026 came in at 6.4.
we said 6.4 — on the nose
Seen , 31 days after the period ended · Eurostat
Denmark unemployment rate for August 2026 came in at 5.9.
we said 6.8 — out by 0.9, lower than expected, outside our stated range
Seen , 31 days after the period ended · Eurostat
Germany unemployment rate for August 2026 came in at 4.0.
we said 4.0 — on the nose
Seen , 31 days after the period ended · Eurostat
Czechia unemployment rate for August 2026 came in at 3.2.
we said 3.2 — on the nose
Seen , 31 days after the period ended · Eurostat
Belgium unemployment rate for August 2026 came in at 5.9.
we said 6.0 — out by 0.1, lower than expected, outside our stated range
Seen , 31 days after the period ended · Eurostat
Austria unemployment rate for August 2026 came in at 6.7.
we said 6.1 — out by 0.6, higher than expected, outside our stated range
Seen , 31 days after the period ended · Eurostat
India consumer price inflation for August 2026 came in at 5.0.
we said 4.5 — out by 0.5, higher than expected, outside our stated range
Seen , 31 days after the period ended · OECD
Australia consumer price inflation for August 2026 came in at 4.0.
no forecast stood for this period
Seen , 31 days after the period ended · OECD
United Kingdom unemployment rate for June 2026 came in at 4.9.
we said 4.9 — on the nose
Seen , 90 days after the period ended · OECD
Australia unemployment rate for August 2026 came in at 4.6.
we said 4.4 — out by 0.2, higher than expected, outside our stated range
Seen , 28 days after the period ended · OECD
Finland unemployment rate for August 2026 came in at 9.9.
we said 10.6 — out by 0.7, lower than expected, outside our stated range
Seen , 22 days after the period ended · Eurostat
Netherlands unemployment rate for August 2026 came in at 4.0.
we said 4.0 — on the nose
Seen , 18 days after the period ended · Eurostat
United Kingdom consumer price inflation for August 2026 came in at 3.1.
we said 2.8 — out by 0.3, higher than expected, outside our stated range
Seen , 18 days after the period ended · UK Office for National Statistics via DBnomics
Forecasts are the median of three statistical methods and the range is the one the site draws, which holds about half the time by design. How each method has done over a longer history is on every indicator page; whether the data is arriving at all is on the status page.